The horses within the 149th operating of the Kentucky Derby are listed so as of publish place, with feedback by Joe Drape and Melissa Hoppert of The New York Times. The morning-line odds had been set by Mike Battaglia of Churchill Downs in Louisville, Ky., the place the race will probably be held.
Practical Move, Lord Miles and Continuar had been scratched on Thursday, permitting Cyclone Mischief, Mandarin Hero and King Russell to enter the race and inflicting greater than half the horses within the subject to break from publish positions that do not match their program numbers.
How to watch: Coverage begins Saturday at midday Eastern time on NBC. It may also be obtainable on Peacock, NBC’s streaming service.
Post time: 6:57 p.m
Wallet: $3 million assured
Distance: 1¼ miles
Track file: 1:59⅖ (Secretariat, 1973)
Weight: 126 kilos
Joe Drape’s win-place-show picks: Skinner, Verifying, Forte
Melissa Hoppert’s picks: Tapit Trice, Forte, Angel of Empire
Here’s how we see the sphere:
1. Hit Show
Trainer: Brad Cox Jockey: Manny Franco Odds: 30-1
Drape: This grey has executed little flawed however draw the no. 1 publish. If he’s fortunate sufficient to survive being hemmed in towards the rail, he most likely is not quick sufficient to win.
Hoppert: He had a decent exhibiting at Aqueduct this yr, profitable the Withers Stakes there in February and dropping by a nostril within the Wood Memorial final month. But the one time he is completed out of the cash has been at Churchill Downs.
Trainer: Brad Cox Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione Odds: 15-1
Drape: He is inconsistent, alternating good races with clunkers. If he exhibits up along with his finest, the colt has an opportunity.
Hoppert: This speedy son of the 2018 Triple Crown winner Justify misplaced by a neck within the Blue Grass Stakes final month, and he’ll have Gaffalione, who owns 9 Churchill driving titles, on his again.
3. Two Phil’s
Trainer: Larry Rivelli Jockey: Jareth Loveberry Odds: 12-1
Drape: An intriguing colt who has raced nicely in Virginia, Louisiana, Minnesota and Kentucky. This well-traveled type has a giant shot.
Hoppert: He gained the Jeff Ruby in March by a formidable 5 and 1 / 4 lengths, however that was on an artificial monitor. Still, he has gained on dust and at Churchill. A query mark, however I’m sure about one factor: His apostrophe is pointless.
4. Confidence Game
Trainer: Keith Desormeaux Jockey: James Graham Odds: 20-1
Drape: This colt value a cut price basement $25,000 and has made almost $800,000. He loves the slope, so should you wager him, pray for rain.
Hoppert: He gained the Rebel Stakes on a sloppy monitor in February and hasn’t raced since, elevating the potential for bodily points. But he has gained twice at Churchill and has been producing buzz throughout coaching.
5. Tapit Trice
Trainer: Todd Pletcher Jockey: Luis Saez Odds: 5-1
Drape: All this lumbering type of colt does is win, even when he misses the beginning as he did within the Tampa Bay Derby, or bounces off different horses as he did within the Blue Grass.
Hoppert: This grey son of the prolific sire Tapit has gained 4 straight races. That run consists of the Blue Grass, the place his come-from-behind operating model was on full show. He has seemed like 1,000,000 bucks within the morning, and good factor, too, as a result of his house owners shelled out $1.3 million for him.
Trainer: Todd Pletcher Jockey: Jose Ortiz Odds: 12-1
Drape: Like Mage, Kingsbarns is quick and spectacular. But he didn’t race as a 2-year-old so each race now takes extra out of him.
Hoppert: He’s gone 3 for 3, together with pulling off a gate-to-wire victory within the Louisiana Derby in March. But solely two horses have gained the Derby with out racing at 2, one being Justify, and he is no Justify.
Trainer: Tim Yakteen Jockey: John Velazquez Odds: 50-1
Drape: I’ve a hunch that Reincarnate will run like an outdated soul and run large. His profession began on grass, and it maybe took a while to work out the colt.
Hoppert: A freckled grey like his great-grandfather Holy Bull — therefore the identify — Reincarnate, the third-place Arkansas Derby finisher, has completed no worse than third in all seven of his begins. He’ll gun for the early lead, and Velazquez is aware of how to win a Derby that approach.
Trainer: Gustavo Delgado Jockey: Javier Castellano Odds: 15-1
Drape: He didn’t race as 2-year-old and lacks bodily and psychological basis. That stated, he virtually beat Forte within the Florida Derby. If you want Forte, it’s best to like him.
Hoppert: His identify means magician — his sire is Good Magic — and whereas he’s enhancing regardless of constant bother breaking from the gate, he’ll want some wizardry to pull off a win.
Trainer: John Shirreffs Jockey: Juan Hernandez Odds: 20-1
Drape: His coach doesn’t come to large races until he believes he can win. Remember Giacomo? The 2005 winner had 50-1 odds.
Hoppert: He rallied to end third, lacking by a mere half-length, within the Santa Anita Derby in California, and regardless of having just one victory in six races, he’s peaking on the proper time.
Trainer: Steve Asmussen Jockey: Joel Rosario Odds: 30-1
Drape: He was one of many final qualifiers on factors, however this late runner is bred to go lengthy and will probably be passing horses down the stretch.
Hoppert: He was the runner-up within the Lexington Stakes, the last-ditch cease to earn Derby factors. There’s a purpose solely two horses have pulled off the Lexington-Derby double.
12. Jace’s Road
Trainer: Brad Cox Jockey: Florent Geroux Odds: 50-1
Drape: This son of Quality Road appears to be in slightly too deep. But my buddy’s center son is known as Jace, and he will probably be sending some cash in from Manhattan.
Hoppert: The third-place finisher within the Louisiana Derby, Jace’s Road will probably be shut to the lead early, however he is not quick sufficient to be round on the finish.
13. Sun Thunder
Trainer: Kenny McPeek Jockey: Brian Hernandez Jr. Odds: 30-1
Drape: Like Rich Strike final yr, this late runner has gained as soon as. There’s a horseplayer’s saying: “Why go to the funeral once you missed the marriage?” Best to keep dwelling.
Hoppert: The fourth-place Blue Grass finisher provides Blinkers after a number of troubled journeys.
14. Angel of Empire
Trainer: Brad Cox Jockey: Flavien Prat Odds: 8-1
Drape: The Arkansas Derby winner will take cash. The Pennsylvania-bred colt, nevertheless, hasn’t confronted a subject as deep as this. It will take a profession effort.
Hoppert: There’s little question this steadily enhancing colt would be the shortest worth of the 4 Cox horses. He wants an ideal journey to showcase his robust ending kick, no straightforward feat in a 20-horse subject.
Trainer: Todd Pletcher Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr. Odds: 3-1
Drape: He’s six of seven and was the 2-year-old champion. This colt is the deserving favourite, and if he will get previous Saturday, we’ll most likely see him at Belmont Park making an attempt to full a Triple Crown sweep.
Hoppert: He’s gained 5 straight and has executed completely nothing flawed, besides profitable the Florida Derby by solely a size and giving bettors an excuse to search worth elsewhere.
16. Raise Cain
Trainer: Ben Colebrook Jockey: Gerardo Corrales Odds: 50-1
Drape: Another who will transfer up on a muddy monitor. He seemed like he had skis on whereas profitable the Gotham Stakes by seven and half lengths in moist situations in New York.
Hoppert: He didn’t even hit the board in his final race, the Blue Grass, and he possible has distance limitations. Pass.
17. Derma Sotogake
Trainer: Hidetaka Otonashi Jockey: Christophe Lemaire Odds: 10-1
Drape: I need to like this Japanese challenger, however horses coming from the UAE Derby (as he did) are 0 for 18 within the Derby. And his publish place does him no favours.
Hoppert: I, for one, am shocked Drape is not leaping on his typical worldwide bandwagon, particularly with this energy of a contender. But he makes good factors, regardless of the colt’s gate-to-wire romp within the United Arab Emirates, the place Japan swept the highest 4 spots.
18. Rocket Can
Trainer: Bill Mott Jockey: Junior Alvarado Odds: 50-1
Drape: Like Shirreffs, Mott does not present up with a horse he does not consider in. This colt will outrun his odds.
Hoppert: He gained the Holy Bull, then received outrun by Forte within the Fountain of Youth and did not even hit the board within the Arkansas Derby. Mott is hoping the addition of blinkers can flip it round, however he is possible too gradual to pull off an upset.
21. Cyclone Mischief
Trainer: Dale Romans Jockey: Corey Lanerie Odds: 30-1
Drape: This Romans colt will proceed to underachieve.
Hoppert: He was third in each the Fountain of Youth and the Florida Derby. A 3rd-place end at Churchill Downs could be a miracle.
22. Mandarin Hero
Trainer: Terunobu Fujita Jockey: Kazushi Kimura Odds: 20-1
Drape: If you favored Practical Move, then use this one. He virtually received previous him within the Santa Anita Derby.
Hoppert: This is the also-eligible that I’ve been ready for to attract. He provides the Japanese a second contender and one other stellar shot to elevate the race from America’s best dust race to the world’s.
23. King Russell
Trainer: Ron Moquette Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Odds: 50-1
Drape: Late defections give this late-running colt a ticket to the Big Show.
Hoppert: The 58-1 shot rallied to a second-place end within the Arkansas Derby. He will not be so fortunate right here.